Sameer Halai Thoughts, comments, ideas

10Nov/09

Comparing lack of insurance deaths with traffic accident deaths

No. of people that die each year due to lack of insurance in the US: 45,000 [Source: Harvard Study]
No. of people that die each year due to lack of insurance in the UK: 0 ?

No. of people that die each year to due traffic accidents in the US: 42,000 [Source: Car Accident Statistics]
No. of people that die each year due to traffic accidents in the UK : 3,200 [Source: Dept of Transportation UK]

Cost of insuring everyone to reduce lack-of-insurance deaths in the US: 100 billion per year [Source: NY Times comparision report]
Cost incurred due to the 6.4 million auto accidents each year in the US: 230 billion per year [Source: Car Accident Statistics]

%age of traffic deaths to total deaths in the US: 1.68% [calculation]
%age of traffic deaths to total deaths in the UK: 0.5% [calculation]

A death is 3 times as likely to be due to a road accident in the US than in the UK. Since road accidents have a very high skew towards young drivers, it has an asymmetrical impact on the total life expectancy of a country. The more the traffic deaths, the lower the life expectancy.

Life expectancy rank of the US: 50 [source: Wikipedia reference]
LIfe expectancy rank fo the UK: 35 [source: Wikipedia reference]

Top reason for highway crashes: Driver attitude - aggresive/ignorant [Source: Statistics Top 10]

Conjecture: If we improve driver attitude to reduce highway crashes, it can cover the uninsured with the money saved and double the increase in life expectancy with a zero net sum cost!

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8Nov/09

Thoughts after reading the 1,990 page health care reform bill H.R.3962

The bill is broken down into 4 main divisions. I admit that I just breezed through division B, which talks about reforms and cost savings in Medicare, and division D, which talks about reforms for health care for Indians (Native Americans, not me :) ).

Here's highlights of the other two divisions:

Division A

  • Insurance becomes a heavily-regulated, highly accountable, fixed-margin marketplace - you make a profit? pass it back to the insured as a dividend
  • Enforcement of consumer protection, reduced variability, increased guarantee and reliability of health care
  • Ensures higher quality of coverage, regardless of impact on insurance premiums

Division C

  • Introduces a bunch of incentives for wellness programs, positive behavior, preventive care, research into effective, evidence based medicine
  • Introduces incentives to increase the health workforce in the country

Division A levels the playing field, sets some tough but humane standards that really should be met for health coverage to be meaningful. It's a sweeping reform in this area. Division C attempts to offset the costs in the long run by introducing incentives for preventive care and increasing health workforce.

Whether Division C offsets the cost of Division A is debatable, and I personally think it won't magically reduce the bottomline cost of healthcare. What this does succeed in is establishing quality standards which will expose the true cost of real health coverage for everyone in the country. It ensures that cutting health care costs by reducing coverage or turning a blind eye to the problem is no longer an option. The bill is an embodiment of the country's belief that everyone has a basic right to reliable and affordable health care, no matter the cost to everyone. It forces everyone to look at other creative ways to reduce costs and raise money to support this right, starting with increasing Medicare efficiency and taxing the super rich. However, I could't understand how this bill achieves a reduction in insurance premiums. Isn't that the bottomline cost that should be of concern? If you have any insight into this, please leave a comment or email me.

Having read the earlier bill at the start of the summer, this bill comes across as a little more exhaustive and reflects the incorporation of a wider set of opinions, which explains the additional 1000 pages :) Would be interesting to see how it evolves as it passes through the senate.

Have you read the bill before forming an opinion? Of the 40,000 people who have read the bill so far, 80% oppose it. http://www.opencongress.org/bill/111-h3962/show Also consider reading the NY times comparative report.

[Note: Even in the case of the earlier draft that was hotly debated, 77% people who actually read the bill voted against it http://www.opencongress.org/bill/111-h3200/show Either supporters access the bill through some other source that I am not aware of, or they just rely on trust and summaries by others, or only the opposers care to scrutinize the bill in detail. If you want to show your support for the bill, consider voting "Aye", after reading the bill, of course!]

Appendix:Understanding the numbers using some crude, loose calculations

Number of uninsured people this bill would help = 36 million [source: ny times summary]

Cost of proposed plan = $110 billion per year [source: ny times summary]

Assumed average individual premium for job-based insurance = $5,000 per year [source: about.com :) ]

Assumed average family premium for job-based insurance = $10,000 per year [source: about.com :) ]

Cost of insuring 36 million people with existing average individual premiums  = $180 billion per year [source: calculation]

Cost of insuring 36 million people with existing average family (assuming family of 4) premiums  = $90 billion per year [source: calculation]

Cost of the two wars in the last nine years = $919 billion or averaging $91 billion per year [source: http://costofwar.com/]

Number of people in America that die each year due to lack of insurance = 45,000 deaths per year [source: Harvard study]

Number of people in the world that die of malaria each year = 1 million deaths per year [source: Gates foundation]

Cost of completely eradicating malaria from the world = $5 billion per year for 12 years [source: Roll Back Malaria]

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11Oct/09

Do you monitor your energy consumption?

Puget Sound Energy uses Energy Guide to provide very interesting analytical tools to see your energy consumption. It’s similar to tools by Google and Microsoft, both of which do not work with my PSE account.

I hadn’t noticed this visual before which compares our energy consumption with other similar dwellings in the area:

image

I am not quite sure what we are doing better. When I compare it to the same month last year, my total YoY consumption has gone down:

image

If we assume no other factors have changed then the main difference seems that we had two more people living with us that month. I remember reading somewhere that hot water consumption is one of the main variable factor in energy bills. Less people means less hot water consumption. Maybe that’s all that makes us “better” than others in our area. If this is true, then just by looking at anyone’s bill in our area one could predict how many people live in that household :)

Maybe it is due to some other changes we have made e.g. I took down my 24x7 FON hotspot last month. I could be wrong, but I remember from my previous calculations that a 24x7 router adds up to around the same energry consumption as a stove-top used twice a day. Time to put the rusty Kill-a-Watt to some use.

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7Oct/09

Can you think your way to sharper TV picture quality?

When I first hooked up my Comcast HDTV service to my brand new plasma HDTV, it took me a while to realize what I was watching was not HD quality. Things looked a little stretched out and the on-screen text was not quite as sharp as I had heard HD would be. Having never seen any HD content before, however, I wasn’t sure whether what I was watching was HD or not. It definitely looked better to me compared to what I was used to seeing before.

Only after I got a new HD box from Comcast did I quickly realize the difference. It’s much much better and the sharpness and detail is definitely more pronounced. Now that I know what HD looks like, I can definitely tell it apart from SD. (However, I am still not able to tell the difference between 1080i and 1080p, at least not on a 42” screen.)

A Dutch study wanted to see if simply being told that you're viewing an HD picture quality would lead to a satisfactory viewing experience.

Two groups of 30 people watched the same video clip, individually, on the same television. Half were told to expect a better experience thanks to HD technology, an impression backed up by posters, flyers and an extra-thick cable connected to the screen. The other half were told to expect a normal DVD signal.

The results? Those who were told to expect HD quality "witnessed significantly sharper, more detailed images." The takeaway: A discerning eye, gullibility, and many other variables notwithstanding, until you can afford to shell out big bucks for a decent set, you can always try convincing yourself that what you have now ain't all that bad.

I think I agree with the finding and the advice. If you haven’t yet seen what HD looks like, you probably won’t miss it as much as someone who has already experienced it.

[via Lifehacker]

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7Oct/09

Returning to the Ordinary World

A monk asked Kegon, "How does an enligthtened one return to the ordinary world?" Kegon replied, "A broken mirror never reflects again; fallen flowers never go back to the old branches."

3 days of downtime at work. Let's see how it goes.

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21Sep/09

Interesting urban geocache in Vancouver

It so happened that a geocacher arrived at a geocache to log a visit. He was dismayed to find that it had been muggled earlier in the day. With the contents gone and no logbook to sign-on, he improvised and decided to write on the remains of the vandalized cache container itself. Since then, many geocachers have been showing up at the site and writing directly on the fake electric box to log their visit. We were in Vancouver recently so we sought it out and logged our visit as well.

 Vancouver 111

Though it’s located in a back alley, I have never seen any geocache which is visible in plain sight from more than 50 feet away!

Vancouver 118[5]

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17Sep/09

Feed your fish while you are away

We are amateur neon tetra owners. Our main worry since we have had these fish had been how do we take care of them when we are away. You can get 1 week food tablets which can slowly feed your fish over a week. But if you plan to be gone longer than that, what do you do?

It turns out you can just buy a nice and cheap $20 automatic feeder. It can hold 6 weeks of food and can be programmed to feed upto 4 times a day. It also has a setting that during each feeding time it drops food twice � with an interval of a minute between them � to help the slow eaters have a better chance at getting their food.

We tried it out yesterday and it works flawlessly. Now only of we could find another cheap way to automatically change the water once a week without doing any special hardware setup

Here's a Petco link though it's much cheaper on eBay. http://www.petco.com/product/105443/EHEIM-Automatic-Feeding-Unit.aspx

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15Aug/09

Assemble a 11ft iPhone charger for $9

If you are as annoyed as I often feel about the tiny length of the USB cable that comes with the iPhone then you might find this useful.

Instead of dishing out $18 for an extra USB cable from apple, consider spending just $9 buying the following parts off eBay or newegg to make your own charger of any length you please. I find it really convenient when I know I am near an AC outlet and want to just sit and do stuff on the phone without feeling tethered to a wall or the USB port of my computer.

Total = $9.07

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10Aug/09

New Google already bested by current Bing?

 

Mashable just reported on the new version of Google by comparing a search for the term “mashable” between the two versions. It appears that they have mixed up the screenshots between the two versions. Correcting for that, here’s their screenshot of what the search results look like on the “new, top-secret” version of Google. Below that is what the search results look like on the existing public version of Bing. When I search for the word “mashable” I am more likely to be interested in tweets by mashable (bing) than in news articles about mashable (google). Seems to me that Bing has a superior results page than Google. It’s real-time enough to also capture the very tweet that mashable made about their story.

 

image

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28Jul/09

Tracking the Tunak Tunak Tun Meme

A hilarious series of adaptations of the original video of the song “Tunak Tunak Tun” by Daler Mehndi. All credit to Aanjo for finding and emailing me these videos and making my day :)

The original song:

The American version with two guys:

The Romanian version with four guys:

 

And finally the version with 40+ people:

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23Jul/09

10 years of Windows Live Messenger

I remember the IRC/ICQ days when you could actually meet real people online and have interesting discussions with them. The “Free for Chat” status message on ICQ and the “Find someone to chat” connected me with some people that I am still friends with.

When MSN Messenger came out, I remember installing it and being impressed at how light, clean and fun it was. I loved the design, I loved the sounds and I absolutely loved that I could see when my friend was typing a message. A first time feature then, I remember very clearly how dead my conversations on Yahoo Messenger felt in comparison as I could never tell when someone was done speaking, or was just typing a long sentence. ICQ had a plugin which would let me see my friends type in real time – with their typos, backspaces etc. I think that was too much of an overkill.

I remember how I ended up having my closest friends on MSN messenger as it just felt a lot more intimate and personal.

Well, that was 1999 and it is 2009 already. My entire internet life is covered in those 10 years and Windows Live Messenger (as it is now called) just turned 10.

Lonn made an excellent, funny video for the event and it makes me smile each time I see it.

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26Jun/09

Michael Jackson “Leave me alone” and “Tabloid Junkie”

Back in the early 90s, when I was growing up, I thought I had all of Michael Jackson’s albums in my tape collection. I was surprised when I first saw this video on MTV India of the song “Leave me Alone”, as I had never heard this song before. The credits on the song attributed it to the album “Bad”, but my copy of that album didn’t have it. Back in India, before the age of the internet, I didn’t even know there could ever be a way to find out why my album didn’t have this song. This song tormented me as I would randomly catch it once a year on MTV or VH1.

Many years later I found out that this was a single, released separately, and only on the CD version. And Wikipedia says that it was never released in the US either.

It interesting to think about how this song stayed apt for him all these years leading to yesterday.

Another lesser known song from one of his more recent albums where he lashed out at the media was “Tabloid Junkie”. There is no official video to that song but the following version by a fun comes very close to capturing the essence.

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18May/09

The fake IMAX at Lincoln Square in Bellevue

Thought you saw star wars in an IMAX? They cheated you.

image

IMAX are ruining their brand and deceiving their advocates. For those that want to know, here is a map of known "real/fake" IMAX screens, based on screen size and aspect ratio.
A green marker indicates a "real" IMAX screen, meaning a screen that is totally immersive and fills your field of vision. A red exclamation mark indicates a "fake" IMAX screen, meaning a screen that is branded "IMAX" the same as giant screens, but is not that much larger than regular movie screens, and does not fill your field of vision. OMNIMAX or "domed" screens are indicated by a purple orb shape.

[Destroy Fake Imax via email from John]

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12May/09

How we lost our bike virginity

When I was in Boston two summers ago, I had attempted to get a bike to commute to work. I was overwhelmed by the options available. Craigslist was full of people selling bikes – some had 10 year old bikes for $300, while some had 3 year old bikes for $250, some were giving away road bikes, some giving away mountain bikes, some had cruisers, while others had comfort bikes. WalMart had bikes from $75 to $275, while other stores started at $350 and went up to $2000. I was so confused by the options available and the different prices that I ended up whiling away the whole summer figuring out what I want.

image[34] Jen and I moved to Seattle and decided with a stronger resolve to become bike people this summer. Though we had had bikes before, mainly as kids, we both really didn’t know much about what are the different kinds of bikes and which ones are good for what. We were determined, however, and finally ended up with a very well informed choice which we are very happy about. Read on if you are bike virgins like we were and are trying to navigate around the sea of options to get a bike and make use of the awesome summer ahead of us. Also, this post will be most relevant to you if your main use is going to be around daily/frequent commuting 5-15 miles, paved trails in parks, or a little off-roading and dirt trails.

Getting started

We started out by doing a lot of research online. It quickly emerged that there were mainly 3 kinds of bikes: road bikes, mountain bikes and hybrid bikes. Road bikes are very thin and light bikes, with large but thin wheels and drop-down handlebars. These bikes are built “tight” to be responsive to every little pebble on the ground or the microscopic motions you make as you shift weights. Mountain bikes are the exact opposite with thick and strong frames, smaller and thicker wheels and straight handlebars – these will often also feature disc brakes and front and/or read suspensions. Hybrid bikes are the catch-all for everything in between. They are not so thin and light, nor are they too thick or heavy. They have not so thin wheels, nor do they have very thick wheels. They may have suspensions, may not have suspensions. This, it emerged, was the category of bike that would work for us. Read on for what happened next …

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9May/09

Long exposure shows Roomba cleaning path

If you have been following my tweets, I am a big Roomba fan. I have been quite fascinated by the way the Roomba seems to get every part of the room, detects corners to spend more time and energy there etc. The user manual that comes with it tries to explain that the seemingly random motion is actually a concerted exercise in discovering, maximizing power use and efficiency. However, it’s easiest to understand if you look at the long-exposure shot taken by signaltheorist.

The above image shows the entire path taken by a Roomba over 30 minutes. I would really like to see how this looks in a bigger room.

[Doobybrain via Gizmodo]

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6May/09

Why I love my Saturn Ion: A visual graph of my MPG

We have a 2004 Saturn Ion. Check out the awesome MPG we get on it:

image

This is real data. From actual data points my wife and I have painstakingly recorded each time we fill up. The spikes in the chart above correspond to road-trips. You can tell by the nature of the spikes that we have not taken more than one-tank road trips lately :(

Predictably, there is a lower MPG in the winter months where you have more stops and slow-downs.

Corresponding to the above, this is how much we have been using our car:

image

If you want to record and view data about your car in a fun way like this, head over to http://www.mymilemarker.com

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21Mar/09

A Brief History of the Web by Microsoft

These are promotional videos, but quite interesting, as they take a mix of comedians and academics talk about the history of the internet.

View more of these videos at http://windows.com/ie8nethistory

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23Feb/09

Wordpress auto-updates itself

Having spent years dutifully upgrading to the next secure version of Wordpress using the famous 3 (or 4) step upgrade, it’s good to see that from now on it will happen automagically.

I see this dialog in my admin interface.

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I click on “upgrade automatically” and I am done!

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No more download zip, extract onto server, replace files, preserve the .htaccess file and the wp-content folder etc.

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16Feb/09

Art of Kissing: Invented in India

This special video on YouTube explores the history of how kissing originated and spread across the world. I had no idea that the earliest recorded history of anything even remotely close to kissing was thousands of years ago in India. An interesting watch. Almost makes the case that kissing is not as much an innate primal instinct as it is an acquired social norm. It’s also funny that the modern day India, that I grew up in, shuns this act and is not publicly permissible. In fact, some organizations in India would have us believe that it is a western attack on Indian morality.

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2Feb/09

“The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn” begins production

tintinandco

Production on the much awaited Tintin movie has finally started.

“… is being directed by Steven Spielberg, produced by Spielberg,  Peter Jackson (that’s right, Peter muthafucking Jackson) and Kathleen Kennedy, and shot in 3-D motion capture by the geniuses at Jackson’s own Weta Digital.  Epic. These men are titans in this genre. This movie. Will be. The shit. …”

I don’t think I can top that quote!

[via shape+color]

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